Crypto Paper Trader

Live — Portfolio

Equity

$907.21

cash $374.87 + 3 positions

Return

-9.28%

vs $1,000 start

Win Rate

33.3%

4W / 8L

Trades Closed

3 open

Unrealized P&L

$-4.92

on 3 open positions

Fees Paid

$21.66

Tier 1 taker 0.6%

Max Drawdown

13.1%

peak → trough on equity curve

Sharpe (est)

-4.68

hourly bars · annualized

Live — Equity Curve

214 snapshots

Portfolio Value Over Time $912.38

Live — Drawdown

% Below Running Peak 13.1% max

Open Positions — Unrealized P&L

Per-Position Unrealized P&L 3 open

Allocation $907.21

CASH41.3%

ONDO19.1%

NEAR19.9%

WLD19.7%

Active Watchlist — 60 Day

7 pairs · dots = your trades

BTC-USD -13.9%

$60,903

60d H/L $82,200 / $60,850 RSI 23

INJ-USD +75.5%

$5.08

60d H/L $6.98 / $2.89 RSI 46

NEAR-USD +51.5%

$2.04

60d H/L $2.81 / $1.26 RSI 48

entry $2.09 · -2.5%

ONDO-USD +40.4%

$0.3408

60d H/L $0.4520 / $0.2427 RSI 46

entry $0.3303 · +3.2%

VVV-USD +67.3%

$13.48

60d H/L $20.84 / $8.06 RSI 41

WLD-USD +69.4%

$0.4898

60d H/L $0.5414 / $0.2345 RSI 61

entry $0.5052 · -3.0%

XLM-USD +22.4%

$0.1839

60d H/L $0.2596 / $0.1434 RSI 48

Live — Daily Realized P&L

5 trading days

Closed-Trade P&L by Date $-76.93 total

Cumulative Realized P&L $-76.93

P&L by Pair $-76.93 total

Win / Loss 12 closed

Avg Win

+$5.40

Avg Loss

$-12.32

Best

+$11.28

Worst

$-20.61

P&L Distribution 12 trades

Daily Wins / Losses 4W / 8L

Open Positions — Detail

3 open

Pair	Entry	Current	Qty	Mkt Val	Unrealized P&L	Opened	Trail High	Trail%	TP
ONDO	$0.3303	$0.3408	507.988032	$173.12	+$5.31 (+3.2%)	06-05 09:45	$0.3472	10%	—
NEAR	$2.09	$2.04	88.395090	$180.24	$-4.60 (-2.5%)	06-08 22:02	$2.09	10%	—
WLD	$0.5052	$0.4898	365.436030	$178.99	$-5.63 (-3.0%)	06-09 13:02	$0.5052	10%	—

Watchlist Detail

7 slots

Pair	Price	60d	RSI	Dip	Pullback	Trail	Stop	Score	Status
BTC-USD	$60,903	-13.9%	23	36.0	48.0	6%	12%	—
INJ-USD	$5.08	+75.5%	46	—	50.0	10%	15%	70	⏱ cd 6.5h
NEAR-USD	$2.04	+51.5%	48	—	50.0	10%	15%	90
ONDO-USD	$0.3408	+40.4%	46	38.0	50.0	10%	15%	—
VVV-USD	$13.48	+67.3%	41	38.0	50.0	10%	15%	75
WLD-USD	$0.4898	+69.4%	61	38.0	50.0	10%	15%	100
XLM-USD	$0.1839	+22.4%	48	38.0	50.0	10%	15%	70

Recent Scout Swaps

No swaps in most recent scout run

Closed Trades

12 outcomes

Date	Pair	Type	Entry	Exit	Hold	P&L	Reason
06-09 23:01	INJ	EXIT	$6.47	$5.26	9.2d	$-10.97	Trail $5.26 (high $5.53, ATR-trail 4.3%)
06-05 20:00	WLD	EXIT	$0.3800	$0.4500	3.1d	+$11.28	Trail $0.45 (high $0.53, ATR-trail 12.0%)
06-05 07:00	BTC	EXIT	$62,643	$60,815	1.5d	$-4.57	Trail $60815.42 (high $63982.33, ATR-trail 4.0%)
06-05 07:00	TRUMP	EXIT	$1.74	$1.63	11.0h	$-13.43	Trail $1.63 (high $1.74, ATR-trail 4.8%)
06-04 00:00	NEAR	EXIT	$2.75	$2.46	4.7h	$-6.02	Trail $2.46 (high $2.75, ATR-trail 8.8%)
06-03 19:02	INJ	EXIT	$6.47	$6.10	3.0d	$-20.61	Trail $6.10 (high $6.78, ATR-trail 6.4%)
06-03 19:02	VVV	EXIT	$18.32	$19.25	2.0d	+$3.29	Trail $19.25 (high $21.08, ATR-trail 8.3%)
06-03 19:02	HBAR	EXIT	$0.1000	$0.0800	3.0d	$-8.36	Trail $0.08 (high $0.09, ATR-trail 4.0%)
06-03 05:00	VVV	TP	$18.32	$21.06	1.5d	+$3.53	TP@10% sold 1.3541 @ $21.06
06-03 00:01	WLD	TP	$0.3800	$0.4400	7.2h	+$3.51	TP@10% sold 65.7568 @ $0.44
06-02 12:40	FET	EXIT	$0.2700	$0.2400	1.7d	$-15.06	Trail $0.24 (high $0.27)
06-02 11:40	HBAR	EXIT	$0.1000	$0.0900	1.7d	$-19.52	Trail $0.09 (high $0.10)

Backtest — Current Strategy (sim, 35 days actual)

generated 2026-06-10T11:30 · 7 pairs · pullback-only · fixed sizing · regime gate

These headline numbers ARE the current live strategy: pullback-only (dip mode disabled, regime gate on, fixed sizing). It's the baseline; candidate strategies in the Strategies table below are A/B'd against it.

Read me first — this is a simulation, not live performance.

Sharpe is inflated. Annualized from hourly bars, which overstates it — treat the 2.55 shown as a rough "plausibly profitable" signal, not a literal risk-adjusted multiple.
Window is 35 days (short of the 60 requested; limited history was available). A slice, not a full market cycle.
Slippage is a flat 0.1% placeholder (same every fill). Real Coinbase fills will vary by size, time of day, and book depth.
No live sentiment/F&G/news gating in the backtest — live bot has additional filters the backtest skips.

Return

+7.69%

$1,000 → $1,076.89

Sharpe

2.55

hourly · annualized

Max Drawdown

11.5%

151 bar peak-to-trough

Win Rate

58.3%

28W / 20L

Total Trades

35 entries

Expectancy

+$1.69

avg per trade

Avg Hold

1.2d

best 4.0d · worst 4.0h

Total Fees

$76.37

7.6% of capital

Backtest — Strategies

toggle which strategies run vs the current live baseline · metrics from the last run · changes apply on the next backtest run · needs serve_dashboard.py

Strategy	Detail	Return	Sharpe	Max DD	Trades	Fees	Net P&L	Verdict
Current (live)baseline	Current strategy	+7.69%	2.55	11.5%	48	$76	+$81.27	—
Momentum Divergencestale · last run 06-09 17:31	Momentum Divergence (MACD 12/26/9 · swing=5 · ATR trail ×2.4 cap 16% · no TP · SMA-100 trend filter)	+3.04%	5.92	0.9%	18	$6	+$30.42	✗ Worse (-4.65%)
Break & Bouncestale · last run 06-07 23:01	Break & Bounce (prev-day range → 15m breakout → 5m retest · london/ny · 2:1 RR)	-3.11%	-5.52	3.1%	28	$28	-$31.13	✗ Worse (-10.80%)
PP · Cut Losersstale · last run 06-08 20:19	Pullback Pro · cut losers (hard stop ×0.7, else live)	+9.99%	3.34	10.6%	52	$77	+$99.90	✓ Better (+2.30%)
PP · Run Winnersstale · last run 06-08 20:19	Pullback Pro · run winners (no early TP, ride full ATR trail, else live)	+5.87%	1.94	14.8%	36	$76	+$58.65	✗ Worse (-1.82%)
PP · Wider Trailstale · last run 06-09 20:01	Pullback Pro · wider trail (ATR ×2.4, cap 16%, else live)	+23.97%	6.14	6.5%	41	$67	+$221.69	✓ Better (+16.28%)
VSA Absorptionstale · last run 06-09 18:05	VSA Absorption (RVOL>2.0× · spread<1.2×ATR · close<35% · SMA-100 downtrend · ATR trail ×2.5 cap 18% · hard stop 12%)	-0.52%	-3.07	0.8%	9	$3	-$5.19	✗ Worse (-8.21%)
Momentum Rotationstale · last run 06-09 19:40	Momentum Rotation (top-1 by 24h return · 100% allocated · min hold 24h · rot threshold 2% · pullback RSI<60 · BTC hysteresis · 15% stop)	+1.29%	0.53	12.2%	1	$18	-$16.84	✗ Worse (-6.40%)
Squeeze Breakoutstale · last run 06-09 20:01	Squeeze Breakout (BB 20/2 · squeeze <10% pctl · vol >1.5× · strong candle · SMA-50 trend · prior bar high · 25% sizing · ATR trail ×3 cap 18% (activates +3%) · hard stop 10% · max 2 pos · no TP · cooldown 12b)	+2.23%	0.97	6.5%	7	$22	+$10.80	✗ Worse (-5.46%)
Momentum Surge	Momentum Surge (vol >2× · breakout 10b · 50% sizing · ATR trail ×3.5 cap 22% · hard stop 15% · no TP · max 2 pos · cooldown 48b)	+14.43%	2.16	17.6%	13	$67	+$235.09	~ Mixed (+6.74%)
Coiled Springstale · last run 06-09 20:46	Coiled Spring (BB20/2 · squeeze <20% pctl · break 24h high · vol >1.5× · BTC EMA-48 gate · 1.5% risk · TP 50% @+1R · trail 2× ATR · stop 2× · time 36b · cooldown 12b)	-4.28%	-11.97	4.3%	33	$23	-$42.81	✗ Worse (-11.97%)
Capitulation Snapbackstale · last run 06-09 23:01	Capitulation Snapback (z≤-1.5 · wick ≥1.5× · vol ≥2× · mean rev 48b · edge ≥2.5% · stop 0.75×ATR · risk 2% · time 24b · cooldown 6b)	-1.49%	-3.76	2.5%	11	$12	-$14.88	✗ Worse (-9.18%)

Backtest — A/B Equity Comparison

current live strategy vs proposed alternate(s) · daily equity from $1,000 start · same window

Backtest — Equity Curve + Drawdown

36 days · hourly → daily for clarity

Daily Equity Over 36 Days $1,076.89 (+7.69%)

Backtest Daily P&L +$81.28 total

Backtest P&L by Pair +$81.27 total

Win / Loss 48 closed

Avg Win

+$10.33

Avg Loss

$-10.40

Best

+$35.16

Worst

$-22.15

P&L Distribution 48 trades

Backtest — Per-Pair Detail

6 pairs traded

Pair	P&L	Trades	W/L	Win Rate	Avg/Trade
VVV	+$91.16	12	10W / 2L	83.3%	+7.60
NEAR	+$15.86	8	4W / 4L	50.0%	+1.98
ONDO	+$7.32	8	4W / 4L	50.0%	+0.92
INJ	+$4.54	9	5W / 4L	55.6%	+0.50
WLD	$-15.65	9	5W / 4L	55.6%	-1.74
XLM	$-21.96	2	0W / 2L	0.0%	-10.98

Backtest — Last 30 Closed Trades

of 48 total

Date	Pair	Type	Entry	Exit	P&L	Reason
06-10 04:00	NEAR	TRAIL	$2.09	$2.09	$-1.44	Trail 5.9% (high 2.23)
06-10 04:00	ONDO	TRAIL	$0.3612	$0.3488	$-6.45	Trail 4.3% (high 0.37)
06-10 00:00	INJ	TRAIL	$5.48	$5.46	$-3.49	Trail 4.9% (high 5.79)
06-06 02:00	WLD	TRAIL	$0.4906	$0.4494	$-14.71	Trail 12.0% (high 0.56)
06-05 09:00	WLD	TP	$0.4906	$0.5572	+$8.12	TP@12% sold 30%
06-04 05:00	NEAR	TRAIL	$2.82	$2.53	$-22.15	Trail 9.2% (high 2.82)
06-04 01:00	VVV	TRAIL	$17.92	$19.43	+$9.02	Trail 8.6% (high 21.34)
06-03 11:00	VVV	TP	$17.92	$21.09	+$8.83	TP@12% sold 30%
06-02 23:00	WLD	TRAIL	$0.4161	$0.3818	$-21.13	Trail 9.0% (high 0.42)
06-02 01:00	VVV	TRAIL	$18.28	$17.70	$-6.18	Trail 6.8% (high 19.05)
06-01 21:00	INJ	TRAIL	$6.49	$6.82	+$6.14	Trail 5.9% (high 7.32)
06-01 21:00	XLM	TRAIL	$0.2524	$0.2441	$-8.03	Trail 7.8% (high 0.27)
06-01 19:00	INJ	TP	$6.49	$7.31	+$7.73	TP@12% sold 30%
05-30 22:00	XLM	TRAIL	$0.2403	$0.2284	$-13.93	Trail 8.6% (high 0.25)
05-27 21:00	INJ	TRAIL	$5.65	$5.43	$-9.56	Trail 5.4% (high 5.83)
05-27 17:00	WLD	TRAIL	$0.3640	$0.3427	$-13.24	Trail 6.4% (high 0.37)
05-27 09:00	NEAR	TRAIL	$2.65	$2.47	$-18.87	Trail 5.5% (high 2.65)
05-26 18:00	INJ	TRAIL	$5.50	$5.69	+$5.12	Trail 5.0% (high 6.01)
05-26 00:00	ONDO	TRAIL	$0.4321	$0.4153	$-9.93	Trail 4.4% (high 0.44)
05-25 13:00	VVV	TRAIL	$19.08	$18.18	$-12.70	Trail 5.2% (high 19.25)
05-25 03:00	NEAR	TRAIL	$2.07	$2.35	+$12.88	Trail 5.6% (high 2.50)
05-24 19:00	WLD	TRAIL	$0.2704	$0.2915	+$10.83	Trail 4.4% (high 0.31)
05-23 18:00	WLD	TP	$0.2704	$0.3030	+$7.62	TP@12% sold 30%
05-23 16:00	NEAR	TP	$2.07	$2.42	+$7.17	TP@12% sold 30%
05-23 05:00	INJ	TRAIL	$5.24	$4.83	$-17.15	Trail 6.8% (high 5.30)
05-22 18:00	ONDO	TRAIL	$0.3681	$0.3995	+$9.51	Trail 7.4% (high 0.46)
05-22 17:00	VVV	TRAIL	$16.80	$18.09	+$6.92	Trail 7.0% (high 19.51)
05-22 16:00	NEAR	TRAIL	$1.61	$2.17	+$35.16	Trail 6.2% (high 2.31)
05-22 02:00	VVV	TP	$16.80	$18.96	+$5.33	TP@12% sold 30%
05-21 16:00	ONDO	TP	$0.3681	$0.4154	+$6.48	TP@12% sold 30%

Strategy — Per-Pair Configuration

Pair	RSI Dip	RSI Pullback	Trail	Hard Stop	Risk/Trade
BTC	36.0	48.0	6%	12%	20%
INJ	—	50.0	10%	15%	20%
NEAR	—	50.0	10%	15%	20%
ONDO	38.0	50.0	10%	15%	20%
VVV	38.0	50.0	10%	15%	20%
WLD	38.0	50.0	10%	15%	20%
XLM	38.0	50.0	10%	15%	20%

Strategy Parameters — Reference

Entry Logic

PULLBACK mode — LIVE (uptrend only):
• RSI(14) drops below pair's rsi_pullback
• Price must be ≥ 3% above SMA-100
• Recent 5-bar volume below average (declining)

DIP mode — DISABLED (not live):
• In code but gated off (dip_enabled=False) — pullback-only validated stronger (10/12 walk-forward windows, +4.73% mean)
• Would fire on RSI < rsi_dip + volume ≥ 50% of 20-bar SMA + price ≥ 1.4σ below Bollinger SMA-20

Entry gates: max 1 entry/run · circuit breaker pauses after 3 losses (24h) · BTC −5%/24h blocks pullbacks

Exit Logic

Hard stop: loss ≥ pair's hard_stop (BTC 12%, others 15%)
Trailing stop: ATR-based (2×ATR, bounded 4–12%); falls back to trail_pct
Take-profit: +12% gain → sell 30% of position

Cooldown after exit:
• 12h after exit (BTC 6h)
• Overridden by extreme RSI ≤25 (panic buy ok)

Sentiment Overlays

Not active in live: both overlays only shift the DIP threshold, and dip mode is off — so they have no effect on current entries. Pullback uses a fixed rsi_pullback. Listed for when dip mode is re-enabled.

Fear & Greed Index (alternative.me):
• Extreme Fear (≤20): dip threshold relaxed +5
• Extreme Greed (≥85): dip threshold tightened -5

News (CoinDesk/Cointelegraph/Decrypt):
• 0.5 RSI penalty per pair mention (cap 8.0)
• High media activity = cautious entries

Risk

Position sizing: fixed — risk_per_trade × capital (≈20%/trade); vol-targeted sizing exists but is disabled (underperformed fixed in backtest)
Max concurrent positions: 8
Fees: 0.6% taker (Coinbase Tier 1)
Slippage: 0.1% (placeholder)

Auto-scout:
• Swaps slot if candidate scores ≥15 pts higher
• Open positions block rotation
• BTC is protected (never swapped out)

Backtest Summary

60 days · 7 pairs

Total Return

+7.69%

Sharpe

2.55

Max DD

11.5%

Win Rate

58.3%

Backtest mirrors the live strategy: per-pair RSI dip/pullback thresholds, volume + Bollinger confirmation, ATR trailing stop (2×ATR, 4–12%), 12%/30% take-profit, hard stop, 12h/6h cooldowns (RSI≤25 bypass), 8 max positions, volatility-targeted sizing, 1-entry/bar cadence, 3-loss circuit breaker, and the BTC −5%/24h pullback gate (−10% also blocks dips). Fills at 0.1% slippage, 0.6% taker fee, $1,000 portfolio, 60 days of 1h Coinbase candles. Only the Fear & Greed and news overlays are omitted (no historical sentiment data). Model output, not live fills.